Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before close
- 7 days before close
- Not captured
- 24 hours before close
- 1 hour before close
Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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The outcome is clearly defined by whether the specified team wins the 2026 MLS Cup according to official Major League Soccer information. Participants should be aware of the early resolution clause, which allows the market to resolve to 'No' as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated from winning the title before the season concludes. Additionally, if the season is cancelled or extends past December 31, 2026 without a declared winner, the market resolves to 'Other'.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before close.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether CF Montréal will win the 2026 MLS Cup championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if CF Montréal wins the 2026 MLS Cup. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for CF Montréal to win the 2026 MLS Cup under MLS rules, such as being mathematically eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Major League Soccer official information serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Season resolution cutoff: — The market resolves to Other if the season is postponed beyond this date or no winner is declared by then.
Resolution source
Major League Soccer official information, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.