Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before close
- 7 days before close
- Not captured
- 24 hours before close
- Not captured
- 1 hour before close
- Not captured
Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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Resolution depends primarily on official results published by Major League Soccer regarding the winner of the 2026 MLS Cup. Participants should note the early resolution provision: the market will resolve to No prior to the championship match if the team is mathematically eliminated from winning the cup. There is also a specific fallback provision resolving to Other if the season is canceled or fails to declare a champion by December 31, 2026. The terms and conditions are straightforward and rely on an established official sports governing body.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before close.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether Minnesota United FC will win the 2026 MLS Cup championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Minnesota United FC wins the 2026 MLS Cup. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Minnesota United FC to win the title under MLS rules, such as through mathematical elimination. The market resolves to Other if the 2026 season is cancelled, postponed beyond December 31, 2026 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from Major League Soccer decides resolution, alongside a consensus of credible reporting if necessary.
Key dates
- Season outcome deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the season is postponed beyond or no winner is declared by this date.
Resolution source
Major League Soccer
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.