Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before close
- 7 days before close
- 24 hours before close
- 1 hour before close
Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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The market outcome is straightforward, determining whether Atlanta United FC wins the 2026 MLS Cup based primarily on official league information. Participants should note the early resolution provision, which allows the market to settle to 'No' as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated from contention prior to the final. Additionally, if the season is cancelled or delayed past December 31, 2026 without a champion crowned, the market is specified to resolve to 'Other'.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before close.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether Atlanta United FC will win the 2026 MLS Cup. It features an early resolution trigger if the team is mathematically eliminated before the final.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Atlanta United FC wins the 2026 MLS Cup. The market resolves to No if Atlanta United FC does not win the cup, including an early resolution to No if it becomes impossible for the team to win under MLS rules, such as mathematical elimination. The market resolves to Other if the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed past December 31, 2026 ET, or if no winner is declared by that deadline. Resolution is determined primarily by official information from Major League Soccer, or alternatively by a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Season completion deadline: — Deadline after which postponement or lack of a declared winner triggers resolution to Other
Resolution source
Major League Soccer, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.