Will the Republican Party win the SC-03 House seat?
Current price
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Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market follows the standard outcome of the 2026 midterm election for South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District. Resolution primarily relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than a single pre-designated media outlet, with official Federal Election Commission reporting serving as a definitive fallback if any ambiguity arises. The rules clearly define how party affiliation is determined, including how non-major party candidates will be classified based on their stated caucusing intentions once all House races are called.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- High
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Republican Party wins the SC-03 House seat in the 2026 US midterm elections. The resolution considers a candidate's party affiliation at the time all 2026 House elections are called, including their intent to caucus if not ballot-listed.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat is a member of the Republican Party. A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed affiliation or their most recently expressed intent to caucus with the Republican Party at the time all 2026 House elections are conclusively called. The market resolves No if the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat is not a member of the Republican Party. This includes candidates affiliated with the Democratic Party or any other party. The market resolves based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, the market resolves based solely on the official results reported by the United States government. The Federal Election Commission is the deciding source for official results.
Key dates
- 2026 Midterm Election Date:
Resolution source
Federal Election Commission
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