Will the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
This market evaluates the outcome of the 2026 FL-10 congressional race in a standard manner. Primary resolution relies on a consensus of credible media reporting, with an explicit fallback to official Federal Election Commission records if results are disputed or ambiguous. Rules clearly define how party affiliation is established, including a specific provision for independent candidates based on their stated intent to caucus by the time all House races are decided. Resolution timing will naturally align with standard post-election tabulation and media calls.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Democratic Party wins the FL-10 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections, with resolution based on the winning candidate's party affiliation at the time all House elections are called.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if the candidate who wins the FL-10 congressional district seat in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections is a member of the Democratic Party. A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation at the time all 2026 House elections are conclusively called. If a candidate has no ballot-listed affiliation, their party is determined by their most recently expressed intent to caucus with the Democratic Party at the time all House elections are called. The market resolves No if the winning candidate is not a member of the Democratic Party. The market resolves based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, the market resolves based solely on the official results reported by the United States government. The Federal Election Commission is the specified source for official results.
Key dates
- Midterm Election Date:
Resolution source
Federal Election Commission
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.