Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$16.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define what constitutes a win in the next Bulgarian presidential election, explicitly accommodating potential runoff rounds. While the primary resolution mechanism references a consensus of credible reporting, it provides a specific, objective fallback to the official results from Bulgaria's Central Election Commission. A generous longstop date of December 31, 2027, prevents premature closure in the event of minor delays, resolving to Other if the election outcome remains unresolved past that point.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Delyan Peevski will win the next presidential election in Bulgaria. Resolution includes any potential second-round runoff and defaults to Other if results are delayed past the final cutoff date.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Delyan Peevski wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria, including any second round. The market resolves No if another candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if the result of the election is not known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting. If ambiguity arises, resolution is based solely on official results reported by the Bulgarian Central Election Commission (CEC).
Key dates
- Expected election window: Bulgarian presidential elections are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.
- Resolution cutoff: — The market resolves to Other if results are not known by this time.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Bulgarian Central Election Commission (CEC)
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