Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$57.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on whether the named candidate wins the next Bulgarian presidential election, explicitly covering potential runoff rounds. Resolution primary relies on a consensus of credible reporting, with a definitive official backstop provided by the Central Election Commission. A generous long-stop date of December 31, 2027 gives ample time for certification and runoffs following the expected Fall 2026 vote, minimizing timing or procedural risks.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Boyko Borissov will win the next presidential election in Bulgaria, accounting for any potential second-round runoff.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Boyko Borissov wins the next Bulgarian presidential election, including any potential second round. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if the election result is not known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The deciding source is a consensus of credible reporting, or solely the official results reported by the Bulgarian Central Election Commission if there is ambiguity.
Key dates
- Expected election period: Elections are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.
- Resolution cutoff deadline: — If the result is not known by this time, the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Bulgarian Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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