Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?

This event tracks whether Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will officially announce a campaign for United States Senator or President of the United States for the 2028 election cycle before the end of 2027, or announce neither.

How the outcomes relate

The event presents mutually exclusive outcomes corresponding to the specified offices or 'Neither'. Resolution is determined by whichever office she first officially announces running for by the deadline; at most one outcome will resolve Yes.

How it resolves

A market resolves Yes for the specific office (Senator or President) that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially and unambiguously announces running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. An explicit announcement is sufficient regardless of whether an official nomination is filed. Sarcastic, conditional, or non-genuine statements, forming an exploratory committee, stating she is exploring/considering a run, or filings without an announcement do not qualify. Announcing a run for the US House is not relevant. If no qualifying announcement for Senate or President occurs by the deadline, 'Neither' resolves Yes.

Key dates

• Announcement deadline: Dec 31, 2027 — Deadline is 11:59 PM ET.

Resolution source

Official statements by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 23 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC