PolymarketEvent1 live of 14 outcomes

Which bills will become law in 2026?

1 live outcome · highest priced: Export-control chip security at 59% (+18 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $167.2K total volume

Outcomes for Which bills will become law in 2026?
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Export-control chip security59%▲ 18MedLow
$2.50 Coin——Not rated—
DEFIANCE Act——Not rated—
FISA Section 702 reauthorization——Not rated—
Critical-minerals stockpile——Not rated—
SELF DRIVE Act——Not rated—
Smithsonian Women’s History Museum——Not rated—
Film/TV production expensing——Not rated—
Credit-card routing competition——Not rated—
AI-chip export licensing——Not rated—
Data center utility cost protection——Not rated—
SHOWER Act——Not rated—
Trump Airport——Not rated—
NO FAKES Act——Not rated—

Highest-priced outcome

Export-control chip security · 7 daysRange 37–67%