TN-08 House Election Winner
0 live outcomes · $50.3K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Tennessee's 8th congressional district. Its markets measure which political party or candidate will win the seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of individual markets for political parties or candidates competing for the same congressional seat. Because only one candidate can win the seat, at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified political party wins the TN-08 U.S. House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or the party with which the candidate most recently expressed intent to caucus. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, with ambiguous cases resolved solely using official results from the Federal Election Commission.
Key dates
- Midterm Elections: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) as the official fallback
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Kustoff (R) | 97% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Heidi Kuhn (D) | — | — | Low | Med |