PolymarketEvent1 live of 6 outcomes

Tabasco Congress Election Winner

1 live outcome · highest priced: Morena at 95% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Jun 7, 2027 · $9.5K total volume

About this event

This event tracks which political party will secure the highest ranking in the 2027 legislative elections for the 35 members of the Congress of the State of Tabasco, primarily determined by the total number of seats won.

How the outcomes relate

Each market corresponds to a specific political party. The rules specify a strict ranking and tiebreaking process that leads to a single winning party; therefore, at most one market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

A market resolves Yes if its designated party ranks highest in the election, primarily by winning the most seats. District seats won via coalitions are assigned to individual parties based on official candidate registration agreements, while proportional representation seats go to the allocated party. If seats are tied, the tie is broken first by total valid proportional representation list votes, then alphabetically. In the event of ambiguity, resolution relies on official reports from the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Tabasco or Mexican/Tabasco government bodies. If results are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, the event resolves to Other.

Key dates

  • Election day: — Scheduled date for the Tabasco congressional elections.
  • Definitive result deadline: — Deadline at 11:59 PM ET after which the market resolves to Other if results remain unknown.

Resolution source

Consensus of credible reporting, or officially from the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Tabasco and the governments of Tabasco and Mexico.

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for Tabasco Congress Election Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Morena95%▲ 1LowMed
PAN2%±0LowMed
PRI——Not rated—
PVEM——Not rated—
PT——Not rated—
MC——Not rated—

Highest-priced outcome

Morena · Since Nov 10Range 94–95%