Next US president's age at inauguration?
2 live outcomes · highest priced: 50+ at 36% · first close Jan 21, 2029 · $24.4K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the age of the next person sworn in as President of the United States after Donald J. Trump. Each market corresponds to a specific age threshold at the time of inauguration.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of a ladder of minimum age thresholds. Because these markets represent cumulative age floors (such as 50+ or 60+), more than one market can resolve Yes if the next president's age meets or exceeds multiple thresholds.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the next individual sworn in as President of the United States after Donald J. Trump is the listed age or older on their inauguration day. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Age is calculated on the day they are sworn in, advancing immediately at the start of their birth date. If no person other than Donald J. Trump is sworn in by March 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No.
Key dates
- Inauguration cutoff deadline: — March 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
A consensus of official government sources and official public records, or credible reporting sources if needed
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50+ | 36% | — | Low | Med | |
| 80+ | 5% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| 60+ | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| 70+ | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| 45+ | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| 40+ | — | — | Not rated | — |