New Hampshire Governor Election Margin of Victory

This event tracks the margin of victory in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election. Individual markets measure specific percentage brackets for the margin between the first- and second-place candidates, categorized by party nominee.

How the outcomes relate

The event is structured into mutually exclusive margin brackets. Because the election will produce a single margin of victory based on official vote counts, at most one margin bracket market can resolve Yes. If a reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the higher margin bracket resolves Yes.

How it resolves

Each market resolves Yes if the specified party nominee wins the election by a vote percentage margin falling within that market's defined bracket; otherwise, it resolves No. Margin of victory is the absolute difference between the top two candidates' vote shares of all valid votes cast. Markets resolve once official counts are certified or via an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. If results are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, markets resolve to 'Other'.

Key dates

• Expected Election Day: Nov 3, 2026
• Definitive result deadline: Jun 30, 2027 — 11:59 PM ET

Resolution source

Official results published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 18 Oct 2026, 00:32 UTC