Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory

This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election. Markets measure the margin of victory between the top two candidates, segmented into percentage-based brackets for specific candidate and party outcomes.

How the outcomes relate

Markets in this event represent mutually exclusive margin-of-victory percentage brackets for the candidates. Based on the rules, the election will resolve to a single winning margin bracket, meaning at most one market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

Each market resolves to Yes if the certified margin of victory falls into its specified percentage bracket, and No otherwise. Margin of victory is the absolute difference between the vote percentages of the first- and second-place candidates, calculated from total valid votes. If a value falls exactly between two brackets, it resolves to the higher margin bracket. If results are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.

Key dates

• Expected Election Day: Nov 3, 2026 — The 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election is expected to be held.
• Resolution Deadline: Jun 30, 2027 — Results must be definitively known by 11:59 PM ET or the market resolves to Other.

Resolution source

Official results published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 19 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC