Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?
2 live outcomes · highest priced: $1B at 4% · first close Jan 1, 2028 · $87.2K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Ethereal's governance token one day after its launch. Markets measure whether the token's FDV meets or exceeds specific valuation thresholds at that time.
How the outcomes relate
The markets form a ladder of valuation thresholds. Because each market tests whether the FDV is above a particular amount, multiple markets can resolve Yes simultaneously if the FDV surpasses several threshold levels.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the FDV of Ethereal's governance token is greater than the specified target value one day after launch. Otherwise, it resolves to No. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated by multiplying total token supply by the token price. The measurement point, defined as one day after launch, is 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. If no token is launched by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the markets resolve to No.
Key dates
- Token launch deadline: — December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET; if no token has launched by this time, markets resolve to No.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1B | 4% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| $2B | 3% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| $50M | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| $100M | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| $200M | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| $300M | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| $400M | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| $500M | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| $600M | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| $800M | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| $25M | — | — | Not rated | — |