PolymarketEvent3 live of 6 outcomes

Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit __ by March 31?

3 live outcomes · highest priced: ↑ 70% at 68% · first close Apr 1, 2027 · $34.4K total volume

About this event

This event tracks whether the Democratic Party's hourly odds of winning the 2028 presidential election hit specific percentage thresholds on PredictionMarketOdds.com before April 1, 2027.

How the outcomes relate

The event consists of a ladder of percentage threshold markets. Multiple markets can resolve Yes, as reaching a higher odds threshold also implies that lower thresholds have been reached.

How it resolves

A market resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "2028 Presidential Winner by Party" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds the stated percentage threshold for 4 consecutive hourly odds values between market creation and April 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. If the underlying market is officially decided early, it resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party is the winner, and No otherwise. Missing values ("NO_PRINT") are disregarded.

Key dates

  • Resolution cutoff: — Cutoff at 12:00 AM ET for recording consecutive hourly odds values.

Resolution source

PredictionMarketOdds.com

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit __ by March 31?
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
↑ 70%68%±0MedMed
↓ 60%32%▼ 1MedMed
↓ 50%10%—MedMed
↑ 80%——Not rated—
↑ 75%——Not rated—
↓ 55%——Not rated—

Highest-priced outcome

↑ 70% · Since Nov 10Range 67–69%