Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

This event tracks the outcome of the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election in Nigeria. Markets measure whether specific individual candidates will win the election for the term beginning in 2027.

How the outcomes relate

The event consists of individual markets for candidates running for governor. Because only one individual wins the gubernatorial election, at most one candidate market can resolve Yes. If an unlisted candidate wins or no candidate is officially elected by the deadline, the outcome resolves to Other.

How it resolves

A market resolves Yes if the named candidate satisfies the requirements under Nigerian law to be elected Governor for the term beginning in 2027. Interim, acting, or caretaker governors do not qualify. If no candidate wins outright, markets remain open for runoffs until the deadline. If results are not definitively known or no candidate is officially elected by October 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources in cases of ambiguity.

Key dates

• Scheduled election date: Feb 6, 2027 — Gubernatorial election scheduled date in Bauchi State, Nigeria.
• Resolution deadline: Oct 31, 2027 — Results must be definitively known by 11:59 PM ET.

Resolution source

Consensus of credible reporting, or official results from Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 24 Oct 2026, 00:31 UTC