Ballon d'Or Winner 2027
27 live outcomes · highest priced: Lamine Yamal at 25% · first close Jan 1, 2028 · $29.7K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which football player will win the 2027 Ballon d'Or award. Individual markets correspond to specific candidate players, measuring whether a named individual receives the official honour.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific player nominee. The rules state the market resolves to the player who wins the award, indicating at most one named player market can resolve Yes. If multiple winners are announced, or if no winner is declared by the deadline, resolution defaults to 'Other'.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the named player wins the 2027 Ballon d'Or award. If there is a tie, resolution follows the official winner under France Football and UEFA rules. The market resolves to 'Other' if multiple winners are announced, or if the ceremony is cancelled, postponed past March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared by that time. Resolution is determined via official information from France Football and UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Postponement / Cancellation Deadline: — March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official information from France Football and UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamine Yamal | 25% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Kylian Mbappé | 21% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Raphinha | 13% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Michael Olise | 10% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Desire Doue | 8% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Erling Haaland | 5% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Harry Kane | 4% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Jude Bellingham | 4% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Declan Rice | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Fabian Ruiz | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Bukayo Saka | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Julian Alvarez | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Rayan Cherki | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Vitinha | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Achraf Hakimi | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Alexander Isak | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Bruno Fernandes | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Rodri | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Mohamed Salah | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| João Neves | <1% | ▲ 1 | Low | Low | |
| William Saliba | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Marc Cucurella | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Lautaro Martinez | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Lionel Messi | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Luis Diaz | — | — | Med | Low | |
| Vinícius Júnior | — | — | Not rated | — |