Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
2 live outcomes · highest priced: $2.5T at <1% · first close Jan 1, 2028 · $95K total volume
About this event
This event tracks whether Anthropic's market capitalization exceeds specific valuation thresholds at the official market close of its first day of trading following an initial public offering (IPO).
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured as a ladder of threshold markets. Because each market asks if the closing market cap is above a specific dollar figure, multiple markets can resolve Yes simultaneously if the final valuation surpasses more than one threshold. If a higher threshold resolves Yes, all lower thresholds will also resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the official closing market capitalization on Anthropic's first day of trading exceeds the specified threshold. Otherwise, it resolves to No. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the markets resolve to No. Market capitalization is calculated as shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price. If normal trading is interrupted, the official close of the abbreviated session applies; if none is published, the next trading day with an official close is used.
Key dates
- IPO deadline: — December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET (deadline by which an IPO must occur to avoid resolving No)
Resolution source
Primary exchange's official listing page, or another reliable source if the figure is not displayed.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2.5T | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| $3T | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| $1.5T | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| $1.75T | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| $2T | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| $2.25T | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| $2.75T | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| $1.0T | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| $1.25T | — | — | Not rated | — |