2028 Presidential Election: Pennsylvania Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Democratic Party at 66% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 8, 2028 · $4K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which political party's candidate will win the most statewide votes in Pennsylvania during the 2028 US Presidential Election. Each market corresponds to a specific political party.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured with one market per party. Because resolution is based on the party of the single candidate who wins the most valid statewide votes in Pennsylvania, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if the presidential nominee representing that party wins the most valid statewide votes in Pennsylvania in the 2028 Presidential Election. Markets resolve once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC concurrently call the state for the same candidate. If these sources do not reach a consensus (or fail to call the race), resolution relies on certified statewide election results. If the results cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".
Key dates
- Expected Election Day: — The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place.
- Determination Deadline: — Deadline at 11:59 PM ET to determine results, after which the market resolves to "Other".
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or certified results from the state government
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 66% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Republican Party | 33% | ±0 | Low | Med |