2028 Presidential Election: Oregon Winner

This event tracks the outcome of the 2028 US Presidential Election in the state of Oregon, measuring which political party's candidate (or named independent candidate) will win the most valid statewide votes.

How the outcomes relate

Each market corresponds to a specific political party. The rules specify that resolution is determined by whichever candidate wins the most valid statewide votes in Oregon, meaning at most one market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

Each market resolves to Yes if the nominee of that market's party wins the most valid statewide votes in Oregon in the 2028 Presidential Election, regardless of how electoral college votes are distributed. For multi-round or ranked-choice systems, final-round vote totals are used. If a nominee is replaced prior to election day, the market follows the replacement. If statewide results cannot be determined by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET, resolution goes to Other. Resolution is determined once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC concurrently call the state for the same candidate, or by state-certified results if consensus is not reached.

Key dates

• Expected Election Day: Nov 7, 2028 — The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place.
• Definitive Determination Deadline: Dec 31, 2029 — Deadline at 11:59 PM ET to determine Oregon statewide results before resolving to Other.

Resolution source

The Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC; or certified statewide election results reported by the Oregon state government.

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 14 Nov 2026, 00:30 UTC