2028 Presidential Election: North Carolina Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Democratic Party at 56% · first close Nov 8, 2028 · $865.8 total volume
About this event
This event tracks which political party or candidate will win the statewide popular vote in North Carolina during the 2028 US Presidential Election. Individual markets correspond to specific political parties competing for the state's popular vote.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured with one market per party. Because resolution is determined by which candidate wins the most valid statewide votes in North Carolina, at most one market can resolve Yes. If statewide results cannot be determined by the stated deadline, the market resolves to "Other".
How it resolves
Each market resolves Yes if its specified party's nominee wins the most valid statewide votes in North Carolina in the 2028 Presidential Election, and No otherwise. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC concurrently call the state for the same candidate. If these outlets do not reach consensus or make calls, resolution relies on certified results from the state government. If results cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET, the event resolves to Other.
Key dates
- Expected Election Day: — The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place.
- Resolution Deadline: — Market resolves to "Other" if statewide results cannot be definitively determined by 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
The Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or the certified statewide election results reported by the state government.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 56% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Republican Party | 41% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med |