2028 Presidential Election: New Jersey Winner

This event tracks the outcome of the 2028 US Presidential Election in New Jersey, measuring which political party's presidential nominee will win the most statewide votes in the state.

How the outcomes relate

The event presents mutually exclusive political party outcomes for winning the state. Because resolution is determined by which single candidate wins the most valid statewide votes, at most one market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

Each market resolves to Yes if its designated party's nominee wins the most valid statewide votes in New Jersey in the 2028 presidential election; otherwise, it resolves to No. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC concurrently call the state for the same candidate. If these sources do not make calls or reach a consensus, certified results from the state government determine the outcome. If statewide results cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".

Key dates

• Expected Election Day: Nov 7, 2028 — The date the 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place.
• Resolution Deadline: Dec 31, 2029 — Market resolves to "Other" if results cannot be definitively determined by 11:59 PM ET on this date.

Resolution source

Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or certified results from the state government

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 2 Nov 2026, 00:31 UTC