PolymarketEvent2 live of 2 outcomes

2028 Presidential Election: Minnesota Winner

2 live outcomes · highest priced: Democratic Party at 85% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 8, 2028 · $13K total volume

About this event

This event tracks which political party's candidate will win the most valid statewide votes in Minnesota during the 2028 US Presidential Election. Markets evaluate the victory of specific political parties.

How the outcomes relate

Each market corresponds to a political party. Because resolution is based on which candidate wins the most valid statewide votes in Minnesota, at most one market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

A market resolves Yes if its specified party's nominee wins the most valid statewide votes in Minnesota in the 2028 presidential election, regardless of electoral college vote distribution. Markets resolve once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC concurrently call the state for the same candidate. If these sources do not reach consensus or make race calls, certified results from the state government will be used. If results cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".

Key dates

  • Expected Election Day:
  • Resolution Deadline: — 11:59 PM ET

Resolution source

Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or certified results from the state government

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for 2028 Presidential Election: Minnesota Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Democratic Party85%▲ 1LowMed
Republican Party14%▼ 2LowMed

Highest-priced outcome

Democratic Party · 7 daysRange 50–85%