2028 Presidential Election: Michigan Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Democratic Party at 70% (+2 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 8, 2028 · $12K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2028 US Presidential Election in the state of Michigan, measuring which political party or candidate will win the most valid statewide votes.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets representing different political parties. Because resolution depends on which single party nominee or candidate wins the most valid statewide votes, at most one outcome can resolve Yes, while the others will resolve No (or the market resolves to "Other" if undetermined).
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the nominee of that party (or the named independent) wins the most valid statewide votes in Michigan in the 2028 presidential election; otherwise, it resolves to No. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC concurrently call the state for the same candidate. If those sources fail to reach consensus or make calls, certified statewide results from the state government will be used. If results cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".
Key dates
- Expected Election Day: — The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place.
- Resolution Cutoff: — Definitive determination deadline by 11:59 PM ET before resolving to Other.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or certified results from the Michigan state government
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 70% | ▲ 2 | Low | Med | |
| Republican Party | 30% | ±0 | Low | Med |