PolymarketEvent2 live of 2 outcomes

2028 Presidential Election: Maine Winner

2 live outcomes · highest priced: Democratic Party at 76% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 8, 2028 · $10.2K total volume

About this event

This event tracks which political party or candidate will win the statewide popular vote in Maine during the 2028 US Presidential Election. Markets correspond to specific political parties competing in the election.

How the outcomes relate

Each market corresponds to a political party. Because markets resolve based on the single candidate who wins the most valid statewide votes in Maine, at most one market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

A market resolves to Yes if its party's nominee wins the most valid statewide votes in Maine in the 2028 presidential election, regardless of the distribution of electoral college votes. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC concurrently call the race for the same candidate. If these outlets do not reach consensus or do not make calls, certified results from the Maine state government will be used. If the result cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".

Key dates

  • Expected Election Day: — Expected date of the 2028 Presidential Election
  • Resolution Deadline: — Market resolves to "Other" if results cannot be determined by 11:59 PM ET on this date

Resolution source

Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or certified statewide election results reported by the state government

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for 2028 Presidential Election: Maine Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Democratic Party76%▲ 1LowMed
Republican Party21%▲ 1LowMed

Highest-priced outcome

Democratic Party · 7 daysRange 44–78%