2028 Presidential Election: Idaho Winner

This event tracks which political party's candidate will win the most statewide votes in Idaho in the 2028 US Presidential Election. Markets measure the winning outcome for specific parties, such as the Democratic Party or the Republican Party.

How the outcomes relate

Each market represents a specific political party. Because markets resolve based on which candidate wins the most valid statewide votes in Idaho, at most one party market can resolve Yes. If results cannot be determined by the deadline, the event resolves to "Other".

How it resolves

Each market resolves to Yes if the nominee representing that party wins the most valid statewide votes in Idaho in the 2028 presidential election, regardless of electoral college vote distribution. If a multi-round or ranked-choice system is used, the final round vote count applies. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC concurrently call the state for the same candidate. If these sources do not reach a consensus or fail to make calls, resolution relies on certified results reported by the state government. If results are not definitively determined by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".

Key dates

• Expected Election Day: Nov 7, 2028 — The expected date of the 2028 US Presidential Election.
• Resolution Deadline: Dec 31, 2029 — Market resolves to "Other" if statewide results cannot be definitively determined by 11:59 PM ET.

Resolution source

The Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC; or certified statewide election results reported by the state government.

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 14 Nov 2026, 00:31 UTC