2028 Presidential Election: Florida Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Republican Party at 79% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 8, 2028 · $7.6K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of Florida in the 2028 US Presidential Election, measuring which political party's presidential nominee will win the most valid statewide votes.
How the outcomes relate
The markets represent distinct political parties competing in the election. Because resolution is based on which candidate wins the most statewide votes in Florida, at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if its party's nominee wins the most valid statewide votes in Florida in the 2028 presidential election. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC concurrently call the state for the same candidate. If these outlets do not reach consensus, certified results from the state government will decide the outcome. If results cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET, the event resolves to Other.
Key dates
- Expected Election Day: — The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place on this date.
- Resolution Deadline: — Definitive results must be determined by 11:59 PM ET on this date, or the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or certified results from the Florida state government
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican Party | 79% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Democratic Party | 21% | ±0 | Low | Med |