PolymarketEvent2 live of 2 outcomes

2028 Presidential Election: Alaska Winner

2 live outcomes · highest priced: Republican Party at 74% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 8, 2028 · $12.1K total volume

About this event

This event tracks which political party's candidate will win the most statewide votes in Alaska during the 2028 US Presidential Election. Markets measure the winning outcome for specific political parties.

How the outcomes relate

Each market corresponds to a specific political party. Markets are mutually exclusive because resolution depends on which single candidate or party wins the most valid statewide votes, meaning at most one market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

A market resolves to Yes if its specified party's nominee wins the most valid statewide votes in Alaska in the 2028 presidential election (using final-round counts if ranked-choice voting applies). It resolves to No otherwise. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC concurrently call the race for the same candidate, or via certified state government results if no consensus is reached. If results are not definitively determined by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.

Key dates

  • Expected Election Day:
  • Resolution Deadline: — 11:59 PM ET

Resolution source

Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or certified statewide election results from the state government

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for 2028 Presidential Election: Alaska Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Republican Party74%▲ 1LowMed
Democratic Party25%±0LowMed

Highest-priced outcome

Republican Party · 7 daysRange 73–80%